Stay tuned for the latest updates on the New Hampshire primary Election as the deadline for voting approaches. Nikki Haley is finally facing the two-person race she has been hoping for. Expectations, however, may not be met, as it has been assumed by Haley’s supporters and anti-Trump Republicans that the only way to defeat Donald J. Trump was to consolidate support among his opponents in a one-on-one contest.
With the exit of Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida from the White House bid, the reality of a two-person race emerged. Despite this, it is unclear that DeSantis’s departure will significantly impact Haley’s chances of winning. She now finds herself as the last woman standing against Trump, making her the primary target for a party rapidly aligning behind the former president.
The pressure on Haley is mounting, as her supporters in New Hampshire express concerns that her lack of aggressiveness towards Trump may cost her crucial votes from independent voters. Polls in the state show Trump holding a strong lead, and anything less than a victory for Haley on Tuesday could potentially spell the end of her campaign and political career.
The key to Haley’s survival rests on high turnout from independent voters, who make up 40% of New Hampshire’s electorate. Haley’s campaign is hoping for a turnout surge, citing Senator John McCain’s 2008 presidential campaign as an example, where McCain won the state’s primary by dominating independent voters.
However, Haley appears to be trailing significantly among Republicans, with public polls indicating a wide margin from them towards Trump, which could make it difficult for her to secure a win. Nonetheless, Haley’s team believes that DeSantis’s departure could attract more donations and help her differentiate herself from Trump.
As the primary election draws near, with the added pressure of the possibility of facing intense ads from the Trump campaign in her home state, Haley’s campaign is holding onto the hope that a strong surge in independent and moderate voter turnout will bolster her chances of success.
This article was a collaborative report with contributions from Anjali Huynh and Michael Gold. Stay tuned for the results on Tuesday as the future of Haley’s campaign and political career rests on the outcome of the New Hampshire primary.
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